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JPEPA (Mula Gabi Hanggang Umaga)

Thursday, November 2, 2006

Nang dumalaw dito sa bahay si PJ Mahal kamakailan lamang, napansin kong may bahagya siyang pagseselos sa dalawang malaking binder na nasa mesa ko at inaatupag noon sa pag-highlight at pagdikit ng post it. Huwag kang mag-alala, mahal, hindi kita pinagpalit sa JPEPAng iyan (i.e. Japan-Philippines Economic Partnership Agreement).

Nagkataon lang na tutok ako sa isyung iyan ngayon. Una, may hearing ang Trade Committee ni boss sa darating na Martes, at kailangang paghandaan ito. Ikalawa, tingin ko'y hindi lang basura ang dapat nating alalahaning lahat pagdating sa JPEPAng iyan.

Bagaman ang mga toxic na isyu ang nagpasambulat sa mga pahayagan tungkol sa JPEPA (para ngang walang dating sa media ang pirmahan nina Mahal na Pangulo at PM Koizumi noong Setyembre…), mukhang may higit na malalim na tanong na kailangan nating usisang lahat:

Sulit ba o lugi ang Pilipinas sa kasunduang ito?

Ano ang epekto ng kasunduang ito sa ekonomiya ng bansa, sa mga sektor, industriya at mga stakeholder dito? Tama lamang ba ang mga ibinigay at natanggap nating mga concession? O dili kaya'y napasobra tayo, o nauto?

Ang kasalukuyan kong haypotesis dito: hindi patas. Sa ngayon, ito pa lang ang basehan ko:

Ito ang Annex 1 ng pagka-kapal-kapal na tratadong iyon: dito nakasaad ang iskedyul ng mga taripang ibababa ng parehong partido bilang konsesyon sa kalakalan. Kitams, sukat na sukat ang hindi pagkakapantay-pantay.

Pero seryoso, kailangan talagang sukatin at timbangin ang equity, ika nga, sa kasunduang ito. Paano natin magagawa ito? Ewan ko, hindi naman talaga ako ekonomista. Pero parang ang kailangan mong kuwentahin ay 1) magkano ang halaga ng mga taripang ibinaba, at gaano karaming produkto ang mai-aangkat dulot nito; 2) espasyo sa merkado para sa mga produktong ito, at katumbas na presyo ng mga lokal na produkto; 3) gaano karaming manggagawa sa mga produktong madi-displace; 4) atbp.

Sa kabilang banda naman, para malaman kung masusulit ba talaga ng Pilipinas ang mga concession ng Japan, 1) halaga ng mga taripang ibinaba at gaano karaming produkto ang mailuuwas dulot nito; 2) gaano ka-laki ang merkado ng Japan para sa mga produktong iyon; 3) ang kapasidad ng mga lokal na prodyuser para mapunan ang demand sa Japan. Anyway, ang mga ito ang inaaral ko kung paano gagawin.

Bukod dito, may mga sing-halagang isyu na kailangang usisain:

1. Paano maaapektuhan ng JPEPA ang pambansang palisi sa kalakalan? Pakatandaang ang JPEPA ang unang bilateral trade agreement na pinasok ng Pilipinas, at maaari itong maging template ng mga susunod na kasunduan.

2. Ano ba talaga ang ating trade policy at gaano ka-konsistent ang pagpapatupad nito? Nakapaloob sa JPEPA ang diumano'y "WTO-plus," ang mga sinasabing Singapore issues na tinutulan ng Pilipinas nang mariin sa World Trade Organization (sampu ng mga mahihirap na bansa; kaya nga bumigay ang negosasyon eh.). Bakit sa JPEPA ay meron na nito? Ano ba talaga ang palisi natin sa kalakalan?

3. Paano maaapektohan ng JPEPA ang iba pa nating pambansang palisi at mga batas? Bilang tratado na kailangang ratipikahan ng Pangulo pagkatapos ng concurrence ng Senado (Note: maraming nagkakamali na ang Senado ang gumagawa ng ratification. Hindi po, concurrence po ang tawag doon, ratification ay gawain ng Pangulo), mayroon itong epekto ng batas. At ayon sa statutory construction, kapag may pagtutunggali sa pagitan ng tratado at ng batas, ang pinaka-bago ang mananaig sa mas luma.

Sangkatutak na isyu ang maaaring mahalungkat mula sa sangkaterbang pahina ng kasunduang yaon, at nagsisimula pa lamang tayo sa pag-ungkat sa mga ito.

Muli, sa darating na linggo, Martes, ang aming hearing tungkol sa JPEPA. Hindi pa ito ang opisyal na concurrence proceedings ng Senado (Foreign Relations Comittee ang mangunguna doon, tingin ko): pagpapatuloy ito ng nauna na naming sinimulang pagsilip sa kung paano makipag-negosasyon ang gobyerno, ang diumano'y kanilang negotiating stance at ang panukalang batas para sa Trade Representative Office.

Gayumpaman, pihadong exciting ito, kaya sana'y makapunta ang mga may oras sa inyo.

Anyway, magja-JPEPA pa ako bukas. Kailangan nang magpahinga.

Ebrebadi now! (Sa tono ng Jabongga) JPEPA! JPEPA! Ja-Ja-JPEPA! JPEPA! Mula gabi hanggang umaga!

(Sa gusto pang magbasa tungkol sa JPEPA at sa trade policy kahit dis-oras na ng gabi, puntahan ang blog ni Atty. Gatdula, trade law expert, dito at dito.)

Posted by kapi at 10:47 pm | permalink

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Kalawanging Kapi

Francis Y. Capistrano a.k.a. Kapi. Lalaki, 26 taong gulang, taga-lungsod-Quezon (Pilipinas). Work-alcoholic staffer ng isang senador na palengkero. Dating peryodistang pagal na sa balita. Dating aktibistang binibisita na ng katandaan. Negosyanteng ni hindi pa nakapagpupundar. Makatang tigang. Musikerong mukhasim.

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